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Concentration Limits – Take a Strategic View

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10 minute read – While meeting regulatory requirements is important, an effective concentration risk management process should connect with the financial institution’s strategy and business model – not simply be a checklist of limits.

Set Limits Against Capital or Assets?

Financial regulators have stated a preference for setting concentration limits as a percent of capital, however, some financial institutions have felt more comfortable setting limits as a percent of assets.  Measuring limits as a percent of assets feels more intuitive for some people, as many other ratios and limits are set as percent of assets, but this approach can have unintended consequences.

Consider that, over the last year, assets have increased at a record pace for both banks and credit unions, while growth in capital has lagged far behind.  In 2020, bank deposits grew by more than $3 trillion.  The $3 trillion in deposit growth represented a 24% increase in deposits and contributed to almost a 20% increase in total assets.

Bank Deposit Growth

Credit unions grew at a similar rate on a percentage basis.  If concentration limits were set as a percent of assets, then specific asset categories could have also increased 20% without triggering any flags or exceeding limits.

However, while total assets grew nearly 20%, bank capital only grew about 4%.  If concentration policy limits were set as a percent of assets, then those balance sheet categories could have increased at a much faster rate than capital.  In the following example, 2020 growth trends could allow used auto loans to increase from 200% to 231% of capital, allowing an institution to take more risk than what they may have intended.

Concentration Risk Limits Example Img 1

Conversely, if assets decreased over the course of 2021, the institution in this example could find itself in a position where it would need to reduce balances in used autos by $20 million to stay within its 20% of assets limit or operate outside of policy, potentially causing an unintended swing in balance sheet strategy.  The potential of having to reduce used autos to stay within policy limits could be painful, depending on the operating environment at that time.

Using the same example, if the limits were set against the institution’s capital, then used autos could continue to increase regardless of what is happening with assets, as long as the capital is increasing.

Concentration Risk Limits Example Img 2

If you currently have some or all of your limits set as a percent of assets, it would be wise to have a conversation around the potential challenges of that approach.  Percent of asset limits could allow your institution to take a lot more exposure today, even though your actual capital dollars may not have changed much in recent quarters.  On the other hand, if assets decreased, then asset-based limits could require reducing risk exposures even if capital is increasing.

Establishing Limits – Aggregate Risks to Capital Does Matter

As demonstrated in the examples above, decision-makers should consider setting limits against the backdrop of their capital strength.  An institution with more capital may determine that they have more room to take on larger positions in higher risk assets, and vice versa.

A key question is, does your institution have enough capital to support the risks being taken?

First, it is important to understand the totality of the risk in the financial structure today and how much potential capital could be put at risk.  Then, set limits that are complementary to ensure that there is never too much risk at one time measured against your institution’s capital while allowing for balance sheet flexibility.  (Note that the limits are designed to be upper bounds, not a targeted or desired financial structure.)

Consider the following example of a financial institution that has 10% capital and has gone through a process to identify the amount of capital dollars that could be at risk from a range of different risk events.  The analysis showed this institution could put 2.33% of assets, or 23.3% of capital at risk from credit risk, liquidity risk, and cybersecurity – among others.

If this institution’s minimum level of capital was 7%, then after aggregating the different risk exposures, there would be a 0.67% capital cushion left over.  If their capital decreased to 9.0%, the cushion would become a 0.33% deficit.  As noted earlier, connecting limits to capital gives a more effective early warning indicator on whether the risk in the structure is in sync with the institution’s level of capital.

Capital to Support Risk Example

What Types of Risks Are You Protecting Against?

Having a strategic discussion to determine, articulate, and prioritize the different types of risks embedded in your institution’s business lines is another key step in the process of setting concentration limits.  Establishing triggers in addition to limits can reduce stress and provide an early warning if limits are in danger of being crossed.  The triggers are an effective way to have the appropriate discussions, timely.

Since every financial institution is different, concentration limits should be set based on each institution’s unique structure and strategy.

It is also important to understand how these risks may be interdependent so that you establish limits that protect your institution, but don’t tie your hands from a strategic standpoint.  As the external environment changes, sometimes established limits can have unintended consequences of limiting business lines for the wrong reasons.

In addition to credit risk, and setting limits on credit risk “hot spots”, the following list highlights other considerations when establishing concentration limits.  When documenting the limits, be sure to document the type of risk you are protecting against.

  • Interest rate risk (IRR) – Are your interest rate risk concentration limits synced up with your ALM analysis and policy? It can be easy to have these two limits conflict or severely limit your options if the limits in the ALM policy, combined with concentration limits, result in unnecessary volume restraints.
  • Business risk – Does your institution have unique business risks, such as, a material reliance on a particular type of lending that could be quicky and significantly impacted due to competition or regulation?
  • Liquidity risk – If your institution has any significant exposures to illiquid assets, rate-sensitive deposits, or runs lean from a liquidity perspective, then identifying and managing liquidity risks should also be considered when evaluating and setting concentration risk limits. Just like with interest rate risk, any liquidity-related concentration limits should be in sync with other liquidity analysis or policies that are in place to avoid conflicts or unnecessary overlap.
  • Speed and pace of growth – Monitoring the speed and pace of growth of certain assets and liabilities should be analyzed. It is also good practice to establish triggers.  The primary purpose of the trigger is to promote discussion and further evaluation so that the speed and rate of growth does not get out of control.

What Else?

Does your institution engage in business activities that fall outside of these areas, but could create substantial risk of loss or risk of reduced revenue?  For example, the last 15 months have put on display some dramatic swings in non-interest income.  Early in the pandemic, both interchange and overdraft protection (ODP) declined significantly.  For many institutions interchange has rebounded, but ODP is still far below pre-pandemic levels.  Financial institutions with a heavy reliance on generating non-interest income should, at the very least, have a conversation around their reliance and susceptibility to reductions in non-interest revenue.

Many institutions also set limits to not exceed exposure levels specified by regulation.  While this may seem obvious, having regulatory limits in the concentration risk policy can help make things easier to manage by keeping all key concentration limits in one document.

Too Many Limits?

Setting policy limits is always a delicate balance between managing risks and optimizing opportunities.  Some financial institutions have inadvertently handcuffed themselves with policies that are extremely detailed, setting limits on almost every conceivable asset or liability, regardless of whether there is any substantial risk of loss.  Consider, do all of your concentration risk limits serve a purpose, or are some just filling space in the policy?

What loan categories have caused losses in the past, or have the potential to cause substantial losses in the future?  Putting energy into understanding the risk in those areas can help make the analysis and the limits much more effective.

Tying It All Together

Finally, step back and make sure that your different policies work together.  As noted earlier, boundaries on interest rate risk should be part of the ALM process, and duplicating IRR efforts between concentration and ALM policies can create unintended consequences and missed opportunities.

For example, it is not uncommon for an IRR analysis to show there is room to take more risk, but opportunities need to be passed over because of an IRR-focused concentration limit.  This often happens with mortgage-related assets.  An institution may have to forgo holding mortgages to members because of too much concentration in variable GNMA mortgage-backed security investments.  Are the risk exposures of a variable GNMA pool the same as a fixed-rate mortgage made to a member?

So, what risks are you concerned about that could threaten the safety and soundness of your institution?  Decision-makers need to define the risks, test, understand exposures, set reasonable limits against the backdrop of capital, and, most importantly, evaluate the risks to capital in aggregate.  Finding the right balance is not easy, but taking the extra time to make sure concentration limits are manageable and fit with the rest of the institution’s strategy is a worthwhile exercise.

Strategic Thinking Exercise – Banking as a Service

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3 minute read – Banking as a Service (BaaS) is gaining more attention as FinTechs and non-financial companies look for opportunities to provide financial services to their customers without having to become a financial institution.   

The Apple Card is a common example of BaaS where the consumer does everything through Apple, and Goldman Sachs handles everything on the backend for compliance, risk management, and so on. 

Apple is not alone in this space.  Many companies are looking for ways to expand and/or enhance their ecosystems of products and services to keep their customers engaged with them.  Providing banking and financial services is one way to do this. 

Banks are also seeing opportunity with BaaS.  Talking about BaaS, the CEO of BBVA, Javier Rodriguez Soler, stated:  As long as this customer receives a good loan, and we are helping, I don’t mind if he believes Target is giving him the loan. 

Green Dot is an example of one bank that has been making a push into BaaS by partnering with companies such as Walmart and Intuit.  In each case, they provide the banking services that are unique to each company’s objectives and needs.  For Walmart, they created MoneyCard with the objective of providing a financial product that integrates with its different delivery channels, encourages saving, and offers tailored rewards to its budget conscious shoppers who often don’t have a lot of savings. 

For Intuit, the company behind TurboTax, the objective was finding a way to keep customers more engaged with the brand after tax season.  They did this by creating a debit card where tax refunds can be deposited faster than receiving a check and offering a Refund Advance loan so people can use their refund money before they have received it.  Both products are hooks to bring customers in and keep them using their debit card throughout the year. 

Exploring the impact of BaaS as part of a strategic thinking exercise can be very helpful to consider different futures and possibilities.  Below are some scenarios to think through: 

  • It’s 2025 and BaaS accounts for 50% of consumers’ daily financial interactions.  Our institution is successful despite not offering BaaS 
  • It’s 2025 and BaaS is driving our market expansion, membership growth, loan production, and transactions 
  • It’s 2025 and 50% of our business is generated through BaaS 

While there are many questions you could ask, below are some to get you started: 

  • To whom does our brand matter in this future and what is our value proposition? 
  • How are we defining success in this future? 
  • How has our business model changed to be successful? 
  • What core competencies did we develop to make this happen? 
  • What are the risks in this future? 
  • What obstacles did we overcome? 
  • What are other questions we should be asking? 

The key in this exercise is the thinking and dialogue.  This is not about making a decision, but exploring a strategic topic in the environment or on the horizon.  This can help you think about your institution’s direction and future business model. 

c. myers live – Considering Derivatives for Smoothing Earnings and Managing Interest Rate Risk  

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Decision-makers are consistently searching for opportunities for more earnings in this low-rate environment.  In this c. myers live, we discuss considerations for adding derivatives to your strategy.  Joining us to share his expertise is special guest, Ben Lewis, from Chatham Financial. 

Founded in 1991, Chatham Financial partners with over 200 financial institutions, helping to launch and grow borrower-facing swap programs, and providing support for hedge accounting and regulatory obligations.  They execute over $750 billion in transaction volume annually and help clients across industries maximize their value in the capital markets.   

C. myers helps financial institution decision-makers uncover opportunities and continuously optimize their business models.  Our depth and range of experience in linking strategy, talent, desired financial performance, and successful execution enables us to work with our clients as strategic collaborators.  We have the experience of working with over 600 financial institutions, including 200+ of those over $1 billion in assets. 

Please note, c. myers  engages Chatham for valuations of our clients’ derivatives for financial modeling.  However, c. myers remains independent and does not benefit financially should our clients retain Chatham’s services.  Chatham is also independent and does not benefit financially.  

Learn more about Derivatives: 

NCUA finalizes more flexible derivatives rules 

Credit unions: extending asset duration and managing rate risk 

In this bonus clip from Considering Derivatives for Smoothing Earnings and Managing Interest Rate Risk, Rob and Ben expand their conversation and talk about how others are using derivatives in their strategy. 

About the Hosts:

Rob Johnson

rob johnson headshotRob, one of five c. myers owners, has a reputation for deep, original thinking on asset/liability management and every conceivable modeling methodology, as well as analysis of investments, liquidity, aggregate risk, concentration risk, and other related topics.  While Rob is a familiar face to the managements and boards of many of the largest credit unions, he has helped credit unions of all sizes tackle some of their toughest challenges, such as rebuilding capital and navigating safely and soundly with the smallest of margins. He has become quite familiar to many leaders in the regulatory world, both as an educator and a thought leader.

Learn more about Rob

Ben Lewis

Ben LewisBen Lewis is a Managing Director and Global Head of Sales for Chatham’s Financial Institutions practice.  He currently leads their business development efforts in the Western U.S., and since joining Chatham has worked with depositories of all sizes helping them manage interest rate risk through the prudent use of hedging strategies.  Prior to his work with financial institutions, Ben worked with private equity firms and REITs to hedge their interest rate and foreign currency risk.  

Before joining Chatham, Ben served eight years in the U.S. Navy as a P-3C Orion Naval Flight Officer serving in both Operation Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi Freedom.  

Ben graduated with distinction from the United States Naval Academy with his bachelor’s degree in economics and is a CFA Charterholder.  Ben has served on the Colorado regional board of HOPE International, a faith-based microfinance institution.  

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c. myers live – The Potential Liquidity Risk You Should be Considering

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Liquidity is currently a focus for many financial institution leadership teams.  In particular, teams are strategizing on what to do with all the excess liquidity coming from deposit growth and stimulus money.  In this c. myers live, we discuss liquidity, but not in the way you might think.  We consider the potential liquidity risk out there, how might you approach evaluating it, and strategic considerations for this liquidity risk exposure.

Click here to read the blog referenced in the podcast.

About the Hosts:

Brian McHenry

brian mchenry headshotBrian, one of five c. myers owners, has worked closely with credit union Boards and managements of all sizes in a variety of capacities.  As a strategic planning facilitator, CEOs regularly praise Brian’s industry knowledge, calming communication skills, ability to authentically engage anyone with whom he interacts, and ability to keep discussions focused on linking strategy with desired measures of success.

Learn more about Brian

David Loftus

David LoftusSince Dave joined c. myers in 2005, he has become well-known and well-respected by scores of credit unions in every corner of the country.  Dave has worked on many complex modeling and consulting projects that c. myers has undertaken – he is always looking for a challenge.  He most enjoys facilitating sessions for management teams as they work to make tough financial decisions, while at the same time running “what-ifs,” real-time, to help inform decision-making.

Learn more about David

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Measuring 2020 Success in a Meaningful Way

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5 minute read – The following blog post was written by c. myers and originally published by CUES on May 3, 2021.

Success Dial

Most boards and management teams are extremely proud of what they were able to accomplish in 2020, and rightly so. Until COVID-19, the rapid reactions and quick pivots the pandemic required had rarely been experienced. It is important to acknowledge and quantify those successes so they aren’t relegated to mere anecdotes in the future.

Traditional metrics were less of a focus for most in 2020—loan growth, deposit growth and ROA targets became far less relevant. Some did reset their targets mid-year, but even organizations that did found that their primary focus was elsewhere, especially in the second and third quarter.  When asked what 2020 success looked like, the most common answers were:

  • We helped our customers when they needed it. We waived fees, deferred payments (often without a difficult burden of proof) and worked individually with many to help them weather their financial storms.
  • We protected our employees. We implemented physical distancing protocols almost instantaneously, provided flexible work schedules, relaxed sick-time rules, and communicated early and often about what was happening, even if it was just to say that we were working on figuring things out. Employees expressed deep gratitude and told us that these measures helped them stay focused and productive.
  • We became a remote workplace. We went from essentially no one working remotely to almost our entire team working remotely. We did it in a matter of weeks—and our IT support was outstanding.
  • We reacted quickly and were able to scale up and down as needed. We reallocated resources to rapidly create a Paycheck Protection Program and handled the shift from consumer to mortgage and business lending with little disruption.
  • We still moved our strategy forward. We used a disciplined approach to prioritize the initiatives with the most strategic impact. As a united team, we postponed or let go of the others. As a result, our strategy progressed and our leadership team is stronger and more focused than we have ever been.

Teams were proud of these accomplishments. They felt they were the right things to do.

Identifying what was most important to your institution during the unusual circumstances of 2020 is the first step in measuring success in a meaningful way. Then, use either quantitative or qualitative measures to communicate those successes to stakeholders so they can be preserved for the future.

Keeping the Momentum—Unexpected Benefits

Beyond the successes, going through the wringer of 2020 also resulted in countless learnings that can be applied going forward. Some of those were the result of successes, and others were gained when things didn’t go quite as well. Regardless, they are incredibly valuable and worth the effort to put them into place permanently. Gathering the team to identify the learnings is a good first step to lock in their benefits before they fade from memory. Here are some of the takeaways we’ve heard:

  • Strategic sprints. Getting things done quickly in sprints (with great focus over a short period of time) was extremely effective and gratifying. We’re going to continue to use sprints for selected projects or pieces of projects.
  • Strategic focus. The mindsets of the board and leadership team were forever shifted. We agreed that, going forward, we would approach our strategy and strategic initiatives with the same intensity and urgency—even without a pandemic.
  • Strategic implementation. The crisis taught us what we needed to do and forced us to move unimportant stuff out of the way. Having a clear, coordinated approach to managing the portfolio of projects was critical. It’s how we were able to make the right decisions at the right time for implementation and it’s how we intend to handle our project portfolio going forward.
  • Business model focus. We were relentless about keeping the most crucial parts of the business in our sights. In a crisis, it’s hard to look more than a few inches beyond the immediate, but we did not push lending to the back burner for long. We used the time freed up during the initial drop in demand to gear up with more efficiency and better experiences. We agreed that, regardless of crises, revenue shortfalls or revenue windfalls, we will not take our eyes off the core business model.
  • Strategic thinking. The strategic thinking conversations we had were crucial to deciding on the best responses possible. As the situation developed, we dove deep into how expansive the crisis could get, how long it might last, and how extensive our customer and employee needs could be. Waiting to act until all is known isn’t feasible, but thinking strategically through various potential outcomes helped us address this crisis and will help us to address a wide variety of situations going forward.

Measuring success in such an unusual year starts with articulating what 2020’s highest priorities actually turned out to be and finding ways to measure them. This helps teams understand and celebrate their successes and helps align stakeholders around 2020’s accomplishments. To make the most of your experiences, identify and take actions that enable you to use those valuable learnings going forward. 2020 was a wild ride that highlighted what was truly important in a time of crisis and revealed lessons that can be used to excel well into the future.

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